Path: TopS1-Final ProjectMathematics-FMIPA2008

MODEL PENYEBARAN AVIAN FLU DI CIKELET JAWA BARAT

Undergraduate Theses from JBPTITBPP / 2017-09-27 11:43:03
Oleh : HENDRA MAIRIDES (NIM 10103050), Central Library Institute Technology Bandung
Dibuat : 2008, dengan 7 file

Keyword : Avian flu, Titik stasioner, Basic reproduction number

Virus Avian Flu masih menjadi virus yang menakutkan yang bisa menyebar ke seluruh dunia. Sampai sekarang belum ada perlakuan yang efektif untuk mengurangi virus ini. Seperti halnya yang terjadi di daerah Cikelet tepatnya dusun Tipar, yang telah menelan korban 11 orang jiwa dalam kurun waktu 2 bulan. Virus ini bisa menular dari ayam ke ayam dan dari ayam ke manusia. Penularan virus flu burung bisa terjadi apabila terjadi transmisi atau interaksi langsung antara ayam yang terinfeksi dengan ayam yang sehat (susceptible) dan interaksi langsung antara ayam terinfeksi dengan manusia yang susceptible. Pada tugas akhir ini akan disajikan model matematika dari transmisi Avian Flu dari ayam ke ayam dan dari ayam ke manusia. Dari model tersebut diperoleh basic reproduction number yang bisa digunakan untuk menganalisa perubahan dinamis virus avian flu tersebut. Analisis model ini menyatakan bahwa terdapat dua titik stasioner yaitu titik stasioner bebas penyakit dan titik stasioner endemik dan jika terjadi endemik pada ayam akan menyebabkan terjadi endemik pada manusia.

Deskripsi Alternatif :

The Avian Flu virus is still a deadly disease which already spreads all over the world. Until now there is no effective treatment to eliminate the disease. An example of this can be observed in Tipar, Cikelet. In this village there had been eleven cases of Avian Flu virus that resulted in death in the time period of two months. This virus can spread from chicken to chicken and from chicken to human. In this final project, the spread of virus will be observed only for the case of transmission from chicken to chicken and from chicken to human. The spread of Avian Flu virus can occur if there is a transmission or a direct contact between infected chickens with healthy chickens or susceptible chickens, or it can also happened if there is a direct contact from infected chickens to susceptible humans. In this final project, a mathematical model of transmission Avian Flu virus within chicken and from chicken population to human population for Cikelet case will be shown. From this model the basic reproduction number is obtained, which then can be used to analyze the dynamic of the disease . Analysis of this model shows that there are two stationary points, which is the free disease stationer point and the endemic stationary point. It is also shown that the endemic in chicken population will cause an endemic in human population.

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PropertiNilai Properti
ID PublisherJBPTITBPP
OrganisasiC
Nama KontakUPT Perpustakaan ITB
AlamatJl. Ganesha 10
KotaBandung
DaerahJawa Barat
NegaraIndonesia
Telepon62-22-2509118, 2500089
Fax62-22-2500089
E-mail Administratordigilib@lib.itb.ac.id
E-mail CKOinfo@lib.itb.ac.id

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  • Pembimbing : Prof. Dr. Edy Soewono, Editor: Rizki Apriyanti

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